Home > Valuations > Valuation Assumptions > Reference Tables > Election Probability Tables

Election Probability Tables

Election probabilities reflect the likelihood of an active participant receiving a particular benefit after satisfying the eligibility requirements and leaving service because of the decrement. An election probability is a probability of receipt at decrement; as such, the probability is applied only at the date of decrement, not at future dates (i.e., the probability is not on-going after decrement). 

The Benefit Definition dialog box contains a check box parameter that asks whether election probabilities apply. Checking this box will prompt a question in Valuation Assumptions, where the applicable probabilities are to be specified. See also Benefit Definitions - pension modes or Benefit Definitions - OPEB mode, which discuss use of election probabilities, and the Election Probabilities topic of Valuation Assumptions.

The probabilities may be constant (i.e., all members have the same probability of receipt of this benefit) or may vary by age, service, age and service (i.e., the table is select and ultimate), and sex. Varying election probabilities are entered in a table with an interface that permits variation by age, service and/or sex.

ProVal looks up table values based on the participant’s age and service as defined by the date of birth (or attained age) and date of hire (or hire age) parameters, respectively, of your Census Specifications. The former parameter applies to both active and inactive participants. The latter parameter applies only to active participants. Furthermore, an active participant’s service is computed as the difference between attained age and hire age. Age and service for table lookups are always computed as whole (not fractional) numbers. For details, see Active Data , Inactive Data - pension modes and Inactive Data - OPEB mode.

If you are coding a Core Projection, Projection Assumptions may also refer to election probabilities.